Data-driven 2026 FIFA World Cup simulator built in Python. Computes time-decayed Elo ratings from 49,000 historical matches, trains a Dixon-Coles corrected Poisson goal model, and runs 10,000 Monte ...

Transparent FIFA World Cup 2026 forecasting with Elo ratings, Poisson expected goals, Monte Carlo simulation, and live evaluation as results come in. The group-stage forecast was frozen before the ...