A magnitude 7.5 earthquake struck 28 km southeast of Yumare, Venezuela, on June 24, 2026, and within minutes the U.S.

Abstract: This paper proposes a direct model for conditional probability density forecasting of residential loads, based on a deep mixture network. Probabilistic residential load forecasting can ...

This study investigates the application of survival analysis techniques to credit risk modelling in microfinance lending. Traditional approaches focus on modelling the probability of default at a ...

Reliable earthquake recurrence probability assessment is crucial for seismic hazard mitigation but remains challenging due to sparse paleoseismic data on individual faults. We present an enhanced ...

Conditional Flow Matching (CFM) is a fast way to train continuous normalizing flow (CNF) models. CFM is a simulation-free training objective for continuous normalizing flows that allows conditional ...

The binomial distribution is a key concept in probability that models situations where you repeat the same experiment several times, and each time there are only two possible outcomes—success or ...

A long-standing challenge in statistical mechanics has been to quantify the nonequilibrium nature of active systems such as swarming bacteria, schooling fish, and flocking birds. The entropy ...

Abstract: This paper proposes a direct model for conditional probability density forecasting of residential loads, based on a deep mixture network. Probabilistic residential load forecasting can ...