The post How To Speed Up the Search for Cures Through a Change in Probability Theory appeared first on Reason.com.

Bayesian statistics represents a powerful framework for data analysis that centres on Bayes’ theorem, enabling researchers to update existing beliefs with incoming evidence. By combining prior ...

（编辑推荐）本文系统阐述了贝叶斯统计（Bayesian statistics）在临床试验中的革新应用，通过动态整合先验知识（prior knowledge）与观测数据，为适应性试验设计（adaptive designs）、小样本研究及复杂终点分析提供概率化决策框架。相较于频率学派（frequentist）依赖p ...

The US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) is now “open to bayesian statistics,” contrasting this with the frequentist approach that the agency and the drug industry have historically relied on for ...

In a new draft guidance issued on January 14, 2026, the FDA discussed the use of a modern statistical methodology in clinical trials designed to ...

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A (General), Vol. 147, No. 2, The 150th Anniversary of the Royal Statistical Society (1984), pp. 245-259 (15 pages) Basic ideas and methods of Bayesian ...

“Bayesian Statistics the Fun Way: Understanding Statistics and Probability with Star Wars, Lego, and Rubber Ducks,” by Will Kurt (2019 No Starch Press) is an excellent introduction to subjects ...

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